In this weekend’s Star column Elephants In Uhuruto Living Room I discuss what these elephants are.
Exerpt:
ICC is Elephant number one sitting right in the middle of the UhuRuto presidency living room much as many may wish it wasn’t there. Were someone who’s been in a coma since before the elections of 2007 to regain consciousness and find our president and deputy president to be Uhuru and Ruto, respectively, their first inquiry would be what happened to Raila?
If it is someone who has been in a coma since after Uhuru and Ruto were named by the ICC as being responsible for post-election violence, their first inquiry would be what happened to ICC?
They will, of course, fall right back into a coma if told ICC is still on but these suspects were elected or rigged in, depending on who’s doing the briefing, notwithstanding that fact.
The only exception would be someone sharing the view ICC and PEV victims be damned, a view shared by nearly all those who actually validly voted for the duo.
From a purely political point of view, Uhuru and Ruto took the view they and by extension their respective communities had better hang together or they will surely hang separately when it came to matters involving the ICC.
This strategy actually worked and with the willing participation of the obviously compromised and incompetent IEBC, we have the presidential election outcome we do, not to say anything about the Supreme Court which ratified the results with scant sound legal reasoning to explain or justify the ratification.
While the ‘let’s hang together or we surely must hang separately strategy’ worked for UhuRuto in the political setting, the opposite will likely be the case in the legal case, namely, at least some of the duo’s defenses will pit each against the other and as the expression goes, when push comes to shove, one of these two pals in this marriage of convenience will be shoved so hard and fast, they wouldn’t know how hard until they have crash-landed.
Put another way, and this is something this writer does not believe is lost in the ICC prosecutor’s strategy, there surely must come a time when at least one of the defences for either Uhuru or Ruto will contradict one another.
But both can’t succeed, which means whoever goes for the jugular with the defence will be the one likely to succeed. On the other hand, they both can’t be coy about the defence otherwise they will be nailed.
The other big elephant in the room for UhuruRuto is land. There’s little doubt in order to get Ruto on board besides exploiting the ICC issue, Uhuru must have promised Ruto and Ruto in turn promised the Kalenjin community that Uhuru will finally address the land injustice in the country especially those in Rift Valley areas.
There has been not even a blip about this big elephant in the room save for inconsequential utterances here and there and the appointment of a parliamentary committee to look into the issue.
The committee is going about this in a manner that guarantees that nothing good will come out of it other than the usual application of band-aid to a deep wound requiring more.
How Uhuru and Ruto deal with these two elephants in their political living room will determine the success or failure of their marriage of convenience. This in turn will determine whether either or both remain in office beyond 2017, if they do at all.
– See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-131454/elephants-uhuruto-living-room#sthash.vUBTs8V5.dpuf
ICC is Elephant number one sitting right in the middle of the UhuRuto presidency living room much as many may wish it wasn’t there. Were someone who’s been in a coma since before the elections of 2007 to regain consciousness and find our president and deputy president to be Uhuru and Ruto, respectively, their first inquiry would be what happened to Raila?
If it is someone who has been in a coma since after Uhuru and Ruto were named by the ICC as being responsible for post-election violence, their first inquiry would be what happened to ICC?
They will, of course, fall right back into a coma if told ICC is still on but these suspects were elected or rigged in, depending on who’s doing the briefing, notwithstanding that fact.
The only exception would be someone sharing the view ICC and PEV victims be damned, a view shared by nearly all those who actually validly voted for the duo.
From a purely political point of view, Uhuru and Ruto took the view they and by extension their respective communities had better hang together or they will surely hang separately when it came to matters involving the ICC.
This strategy actually worked and with the willing participation of the obviously compromised and incompetent IEBC, we have the presidential election outcome we do, not to say anything about the Supreme Court which ratified the results with scant sound legal reasoning to explain or justify the ratification.
While the ‘let’s hang together or we surely must hang separately strategy’ worked for UhuRuto in the political setting, the opposite will likely be the case in the legal case, namely, at least some of the duo’s defenses will pit each against the other and as the expression goes, when push comes to shove, one of these two pals in this marriage of convenience will be shoved so hard and fast, they wouldn’t know how hard until they have crash-landed.
Put another way, and this is something this writer does not believe is lost in the ICC prosecutor’s strategy, there surely must come a time when at least one of the defences for either Uhuru or Ruto will contradict one another.
But both can’t succeed, which means whoever goes for the jugular with the defence will be the one likely to succeed. On the other hand, they both can’t be coy about the defence otherwise they will be nailed.
The other big elephant in the room for UhuruRuto is land. There’s little doubt in order to get Ruto on board besides exploiting the ICC issue, Uhuru must have promised Ruto and Ruto in turn promised the Kalenjin community that Uhuru will finally address the land injustice in the country especially those in Rift Valley areas.
There has been not even a blip about this big elephant in the room save for inconsequential utterances here and there and the appointment of a parliamentary committee to look into the issue.
The committee is going about this in a manner that guarantees that nothing good will come out of it other than the usual application of band-aid to a deep wound requiring more.
How Uhuru and Ruto deal with these two elephants in their political living room will determine the success or failure of their marriage of convenience. This in turn will determine whether either or both remain in office beyond 2017, if they do at all.
– See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-131454/elephants-uhuruto-living-room#sthash.vUBTs8V5.dpuf
ICC is Elephant number one sitting right in the middle of the UhuRuto presidency living room much as many may wish it wasn’t there. Were someone who’s been in a coma since before the elections of 2007 to regain consciousness and find our president and deputy president to be Uhuru and Ruto, respectively, their first inquiry would be what happened to Raila?
If it is someone who has been in a coma since after Uhuru and Ruto were named by the ICC as being responsible for post-election violence, their first inquiry would be what happened to ICC?
They will, of course, fall right back into a coma if told ICC is still on but these suspects were elected or rigged in, depending on who’s doing the briefing, notwithstanding that fact.
The only exception would be someone sharing the view ICC and PEV victims be damned, a view shared by nearly all those who actually validly voted for the duo.
From a purely political point of view, Uhuru and Ruto took the view they and by extension their respective communities had better hang together or they will surely hang separately when it came to matters involving the ICC.
This strategy actually worked and with the willing participation of the obviously compromised and incompetent IEBC, we have the presidential election outcome we do, not to say anything about the Supreme Court which ratified the results with scant sound legal reasoning to explain or justify the ratification.
While the ‘let’s hang together or we surely must hang separately strategy’ worked for UhuRuto in the political setting, the opposite will likely be the case in the legal case, namely, at least some of the duo’s defenses will pit each against the other and as the expression goes, when push comes to shove, one of these two pals in this marriage of convenience will be shoved so hard and fast, they wouldn’t know how hard until they have crash-landed.
Put another way, and this is something this writer does not believe is lost in the ICC prosecutor’s strategy, there surely must come a time when at least one of the defences for either Uhuru or Ruto will contradict one another.
But both can’t succeed, which means whoever goes for the jugular with the defence will be the one likely to succeed. On the other hand, they both can’t be coy about the defence otherwise they will be nailed.
The other big elephant in the room for UhuruRuto is land. There’s little doubt in order to get Ruto on board besides exploiting the ICC issue, Uhuru must have promised Ruto and Ruto in turn promised the Kalenjin community that Uhuru will finally address the land injustice in the country especially those in Rift Valley areas.
There has been not even a blip about this big elephant in the room save for inconsequential utterances here and there and the appointment of a parliamentary committee to look into the issue.
The committee is going about this in a manner that guarantees that nothing good will come out of it other than the usual application of band-aid to a deep wound requiring more.
How Uhuru and Ruto deal with these two elephants in their political living room will determine the success or failure of their marriage of convenience. This in turn will determine whether either or both remain in office beyond 2017, if they do at all.
– See more at: http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-131454/elephants-uhuruto-living-room#sthash.vUBTs8V5.dpuf