POLITICAL SUPREMACY: The residents drawn from eight wards in Bobasi walk with a coffin to protest against South Mugirango MP Sylvanus Osoro.
Image: MAGATI OBEBO.
My Star column this weekend.
In case anyone has any doubts, the country is already in the 2027 election mode. This is most unfortunate because what that means is nothing is going to happen for the next several years to improve people’s lives other than those positioning themselves to benefit from the money already being dished around to woo the gullible.
The hoi polloi, namely, the mama mbogas, boda boda riders, and virtually everyone other than those in gainful employment will continue to wallow in the same miserable conditions they were promised would be a thing of the past with the new government but an illusion it remains.
That is not to say President William Ruto cannot turn this ship around or at least prevent it from going over the cliff; he can but the question is, would he?
That remains to be seen, and anyone who cares about the country would still have to give Ruto the benefit of the doubt to at least try and do the right thing to stop this hurtling of the country in the wrong direction.
That assumes we all have the same definition of what the right thing is.
It may not be the case.
Every president has two contradictory choices they must constantly make at any given time: that which is politically expedient on the one hand, and that which is not but is better long term and for the larger good.
It is extremely rare that those two choices can be exercised or carried out at the same time; rather, it is always one at the expense of the other.
Confining this to just Kenya, history is replete with example after example of times political expediency gave birth to major headaches and even deadly outcomes that could have been avoided had the president opting for the expediency instead chose that which was right long term and for the larger good.
However, it does not follow that choosing that which is good or right long term and for the larger good is self-executing for a desired outcome. Rather, successful execution for both political expediency and that which is good or right long term and for the larger good requires exceptional planning, resource allocation, and flawless implementation.
Retired President Uhuru Kenyatta and Azimio leader Raila Odinga fell short in all these three components of strategy execution making it possible for Ruto to pursue that which was politically expedient for him and Kenya Kwanza to a shocking degree of success because Ruto and his team had these components of execution mastered to a tee.
For those who marveled at this brilliance in the execution of Ruto’s campaign strategy, how Ruto has performed as president thus far has exposed for all to see why political expediency always fails in the long run.
That is why it is a far much better proposition to strategize for the long term, even at the expense of losing short term than the other way around.
In other words, in the context of the current situation Ruto finds himself—and therefore the country, Ruto may have brilliantly executed a politically expedient strategy that saw him sworn as president, but that came with a price he is paying, the country is paying, and is poised to make Ruto a one-term president.
The price is the mostly men he owes a debt for their roles in the 2022 politically expedient campaign who are doing nothing but dragging Ruto’s presidency down, providing aide and comfort to other forces that are doing the same, namely, the bad economy, corruption, and austerity measures that are certain to make things worse.
Take Gusii, for example. Ruto’s foot soldier there in 2022 was rewarded with a plum position in the national assembly. As confirmation, this is a position the person was least qualified to hold; the man is accused of abusing the office to throw his lightweight around, which has, on many occasions, resulted in violence.
Put another way, thugism is not a virtue or quality for anything other than backwardness.
How that helps Ruto in Gusii come 2027 is not anyone’s guess because it doesn’t. The president stopping this abuse of office by this person might because doing otherwise will be seen as the president tacitly condoning the character’s violent shenanigans.